Here’s what we know now, based on the latest from the National Hurricane Center and other sources:
- Matthew will hit Seabrook as a Category 2 hurricane. It will have a 100% probability of sustained tropical force winds (1 minute average greater than 39 mph), and a 60%-70% probability of sustained hurricane force winds (1 minute average greater than 74 mph). (Source: NHC)
- There is a possibility of Matthew actually making landfall somewhere on the SC coast. It is not out of the question.
- Current rainfall estimates are for 8 to 12 inches.
- High tides will occur at mid-afternoon tomorrow as the storm is passing through.
- Berkeley Electric has suspended service to the Island to protect its equipment; the storm drain pumps will not be working during the storm event.
- There is currently a tornado watch in effect for Charleston County until midnight EDT.
The NHC has prepared the following possible surge inundation map for Seabrook Island (sorry; best resolution we could get zooming in). Blue areas represent inundation above 1 foot or greater above ground; yellow areas represent areas 3 feet or greater; orange 6 feet or greater. Conclusion: there is a good probability large parts of the Island will flood.
We have several comments and questions regarding security after the storm and the return to the Island. We are compiling responses as best we can and will be posting those later.
There is a chance that it could be several days after the storm before residents are allowed back on the Island, based solely on our assessment of the possible impacts. We encourage readers to prepare contingency plans in the event a more lengthy stay off the Island is necessary.